Hello, one hundred! The Summer Of The Century (Mark) marches on today, with a chance of triple digits in west central Indiana. That looks to be the axis of biggest afternoon highs.
Not that Indy will be far behind. I’m forecasting 98, which will be the 36th 90+ day of the Summer of 2012 in Indianapolis. The average is 15 and the record is 58. I think we’ll be break the record. What about you?
One nice thing about today’s 7 day chart: It’s got a lot of storm icons. No huge chances, but there will be a restless frontal system slipping southward through central Indiana Tuesday and then returning northward Wednesday. I think that proximity produces precipitation chances. The chance is about 30 percent, any time after midnight tonight through Wednesday.
In fact (as the attached chart from the Storm Prediction Center shows) any storms that do pop could contain gusty winds and large hail.
I’ve also attached a 5 Day Precipitation Forecast that shows the biggest rain potential this week is in northern Indiana, around the top of the “Ring Of Fire” heat ridge. Up to 2 inches is possible around the northern quarter of Indiana, with the possibility of around an inch here in central Indiana. It’s gonna take an inch a week for a least four months (IMHO) to dent our drought deficit.
Another frontal attack Thursday brings the best chances for rain this week. It’s about a 50 percent threat. (Maybe “promise” is a better word.) Then a 40 percent chance Friday, and then dry and less humid next weekend. Nice timing!
And it was nice to breathe a little easier Friday night and Saturday. Dew points dropped and temperatures late Friday night dropped below 70 degrees at the Indy Airport for the first time in 22 days.
A tropical wave is over the northwest Bahamas and the Florida Straits. It’ll be slow to get together, however it will bring periods of strong gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall to portions of central and southern Florida and the Florida Keys over the next day or so.
The average high is 85 and the average low is 66. Records are 102 and 46. The sunrise time is 6:37 and the sunset is 9:06.
PAUL’S PREVIOUS PREDICTION:
The actual high yesterday was 96. The forecast was 94.
8 (Very high.)
The count is “medium” from today through Thursday.
DETAILED INDIANAPOLIS FORECAST:
Today: Partly sunny, hot and humid. High 98.
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low 75.
Tuesday: Mostly to partly cloudy with slight shower and storm chances. High 95.
Tuesday Night: More slight shower and storm chances. Low 74.
Wednesday: Partly sunny with slight shower and storm chances. High 98.
Wednesday Night: Slight shower and storm chances. Low 77.
Thursday: Partly sunny with chances of showers and storms. High 94.
Thursday Night: More shower and storm chances. Low 71.
Friday: Partly sunny with more shower and storm chances. High 88.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Low 70.
Saturday: Partly sunny. High 86.
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. Low 66.
Sunday: Partly sunny. Slight shower and storm chances. High 85.