(10AM UPDATE)
A frontal system is slipping southward and will be the best focus for any re-development through the afternoon. The chance for a shower or storm in any given place will be less than 50/50 for most areas north of Indy. There is also still a slight risk of severe weather this afternoon from Indy southward, with the main threat being damaging wind, along with heavy rain.
(EARLIER)
Expect periods of rain and storms today. Severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are possible from juicy air and gradually strengthening mid and upper level winds. We’ll throw that into the weather blender along with a cold front at the surface moving southward through the state. The Storm Prediction Center’s “slight risk” area includes Indy, and points south and southeast. I think the activity will diminish by tonight. Yesterday’s rain did that “diminishing” thing from west to east across the state.
SATURDAY RAIN TOTALS
.39″ Terre Haute
.33″ Lafayette
.07″ Indianapolis
.06″ South Bend
.03″ Bloomington
.00″ Muncie
Yesterday’s rain in Indy ended a three day dry stretch. It was the longest one at Indianapolis since May 22-28. Expect one more cold front and one more round of rain and storms Monday afternoon and evening. Another long stretch of dry days starts Tuesday and probably won’t end until at least Sunday.
It will be a dry… and unseasonably cool stretch. But I don’t think we’ll set any records.
Tuesday morning…Forecast: 58, Record: 51 from 1967.
Wednesday morning…Forecast: 54, Record: 49 from 1945.
Thursday morning…Forecast: 55, Record: 51 from 1976.
INDY ALMANAC:
The average high today is 85 and the average low is 66. Records are 103 and 49. The sun rises at 6:28 and sets at 9:13.
PAUL’S PREVIOUS PREDICTION:
Yesterday’s high was 80. My forecast was 84.
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