HEADLINES
– Another stretch of seasonably hot weather, with lower humidity this afternoon through Thursday.
– Flash flooding ongoing for portions of southwest and south central Indiana.
– 90+ and humid air back on the Fourth Of July.
– Scattered showers and thunderstorms return Sunday.
TODAY’S MAP
NWS TECHNICAL DISCUSSION
- A much drier week ahead with a warming trend back to the low 90s ther stretch of summertime heat and humidity is expected through the rest of the week, but fortunately the level of heat is not expected to as oppressive as last week`s heat wave. Surface high pressure quickly builds in from the north and west through the day, advecting in a slightly drier airmass while working to push morning storms off to the east. Ample sunshine and low level mixing will still result in a warm day for Central Indiana with highs pushing the mid to upper 80s. Dry air advection from the north and mixing lead to dew points dropping through the day into the 60s for most areas, which will be quite noticeable compared to recent humidity. Areas which saw overnight rain may take longer to dry out than areas along and north of the I-70 corridor. Tonight... Good conditions for radiational cooling set up tonight as the pressure gradient weakens with high pressure centered over Missouri. Tonight may be the first night that many areas drop below the 70 degree mark in almost 10-14 days! A drier airmass in place plus radiational cooling will result in dropping temperatures into the low to mid 60s for much of Central Indiana. && .LONG TERM (Wednesday through Monday)... Issued at 151 AM EDT Tue Jul 1 2025 Another stretch of summertime heat expected again for the rest of the week and into the week for all of Central Indiana. While conditions are not expected to be as oppressive as they were last week, both humidity and temperatures will be on the rise into the weekend. Strong ridging develops across the Central and Northern Plains this week and slowly slides eastward into the weekend. The low and upper ridge axis remain well to the west midweek, keeping the core of the heat and humidity further west as well, but still maintaining relatively warm and dry conditions locally. The ridge axis moves overhead Friday then slides east of the region, resulting in a warming trend back to the 90s as the core of the heat and humidity advect into the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. Midweek features highs in the mid to upper 80s with relatively lower humidity values than seen over the past several weeks. Northwesterly flow on the east side of the surface high and associated ridging will largely prevent Gulf moisture from surging northward, keeping oppressive dew points in the 70s well south of the region. Low level mixing Wednesday and Thursday afternoon may even bring enough dry air to the surface for dew points to fall into the upper 50s briefly...relatively dry and comfortable for this time of year. A gradual warming and moistening trend occurs during the week, with each day being a few degrees warmer and more humid than the previous day as ridging slowly progresses eastward. July 4th: Mid to long range guidance continues to be in agreement with ridging moving overhead by Friday and low level flow becoming southerly. Confidence is increasing in highs reaching the lower 90s for much of Central Indiana with dew points making a run for 70 degrees again. While hazardous heat conditions are not expected at this time, increasing heat and humidity result in afternoon heat indices approaching 100 degrees. NWS Heat Risk already shows a moderate risk for heat for the 4th of July, as sensitive populations may need to take precautions if out in the heat all day. Large-scale ridging looks to break down over the weekend with guidance showing a weak trough and cold front approaching from the northwest. With increasing dew points and instability, some showers and thunderstorms are possible Saturday night and Sunday. Flow aloft is very weak on Saturday, so any activity should be pulse-like pop- up in nature, and coverage is likely to remain low. However, higher confidence exists in a more widespread threat for storms Saturday night into Sunday as a front pushes into the region. As of now, timing of the front looks to be overnight Saturday night into Sunday; however with this being more than 5 days out, there will likely be small shifts regarding timing of the convection. Higher confidence exists in Saturday being the drier day next weekend, with a great coverage for storms on Sunday.
INDY SEVEN DAY FORECAST
Today: Some early morning showers. Clouds and humidity decrease in the afternoon. High 87.
Tonight: Mostly clear. Low 65.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. High 86.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Low 67.
Thursday: Mostly sunny. High 88.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Low 69.
Independence Day: Mostly sunny. High 90.
Friday Night: Mostly clear. Low 71.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. High 91.
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. Low 72.
Sunday: Partly to mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and storms. High 90.
Sunday Night: Scattered showers and storms. Low 71.
Monday: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. High 86.

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