…An active weather pattern to continue across much of the CONUS late
this week and into the weekend…
…Widespread showers and thunderstorms expected from the Plains into the
East…
…Fire weather threat for portions of the Florida peninsula and the
Southern High Plains, with some relief to the New Jersey wild fires
possible Friday night into Saturday…
…Much below average temperatures expected across California into the
western Great Basin, much above average temperatures stretch through the
Rockies and from the Southern Plains into the East…
An active Spring weather pattern setting up for large portions of the
CONUS from the Plains, eastward into the East, while a strong closed low
moving in California brings late season rains and much below average
temperatures to California. An area of showers and thunderstorms likely
to affect much of the Plains into the Upper Mississippi Valley Thursday
night/early Friday, spreading east into the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Mid
Atlantic and Northeast Friday and Saturday. The rains that push into the
East Friday night into Saturday may bring some relief to the ongoing wild
fires over New Jersey, along with some relief to the ongoing moderate to
severe drought conditions from the Mid-Atlantic into southern New England.
Storms that form over the Central to Southern Plains late Thursday
afternoon into Thursday night will have the potential to produce severe
weather from far southeast Colorado, across the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandle
and into West Texas, with large hail the greatest threat, and lesser
chances of tornadoes and high winds. This region of the country has been
very active over the past week with another round of showers and
thunderstorms likely to develop late Friday afternoon into Friday night
into Saturday. This will bring the threat of additional heavy rains,
isolated flooding and severe weather from far northeast New Mexico, across
the Texas/Oklahoma Panhandle, eastward through central to eastern Oklahoma
and eastern Kansas.
While large portions of the Southern to Central Plains will be active
shower and thunderstorm wise over the next few days, dry conditions will
persist just to the south and west of this from southeast Arizona across
much of New Mexico. These dry conditions, combined with gusty winds and
low relative humidities will continue to support an elevated fire weather
threat over the next few days. A fire weather threat will also continue
across portions of the Florida Peninsula and Mid-Atlantic from the same
combination of dry conditions and low relative humidities.
A strong mid to upper level low is expected to form Friday off the Pacific
Northwest/Northern California coasts, dropping southeastward into Central
California on Saturday. This strong mid to upper level low will have the
potential to produce some late season rains across much of California,
except for the southeast portion of the state. In addition, some much
below average temperatures are likely to spread across California
beginning Friday and continuing into the weekend. High temperatures are
expected to be 10 to 15 degrees below average on Friday across much of
California, with these below average temperatures increasing to 15 to 25
degrees below average on Saturday, while also spreading eastward into the
western Great Basin. These much below average maximum afternoon
temperatures may also produce a few record low high temperatures for
Southern California on Saturday. In contrast to these much below average
temperatures, much above average temperatures on tap through all of the
Rockies Friday and Saturday, from the Southern Plains into Middle to Lower
Mississippi Valley, Ohio Valley and East on Friday, and along the East
coast to the Gulf coast on Saturday. Eventually, cooler weather will push
south and eastward across the Central to Southern Plains Friday and
Saturday, the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley on Saturday and across the
Mid-Atlantic into New England by Sunday in the wake of a cold front
forecast to push southeastward across these areas.
Oravec
Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
