HEADLINES
– Mostly Cloudy and cooler today, with winds gusting to 35 mph.
– Frost Advisory tonight.
– Warming trend towards the end of the week.
– Strong to severe storms Friday night.
TODAY’S MAP
NWS TECHNICAL DISCUSSION
The upper trough axis will quickly push across Indiana this morning, resulting in cool, NW flow aloft. Indiana will remain within area of subsidence, on the lee side of the approaching ridge over the Rockies. Models show extensive mid level drying across IL and Indiana this afternoon. Meanwhile within the lower levels the cyclonic lower level flow that starts the day will slowly wane as the strong high to the west builds across the area. HRRR shows as the NW flow builds across Indiana today, moisture within the lower levels amid the cyclonic flow will spread from northern Indiana across Central Indiana for much of the day. Forecast soundings suggest lower level saturation with a mid level inversion and subsidence aloft. Thus will expect a mostly cloudy day along with cooler temperatures. Given our cold air advection, highs should only reach the low to middle 50s. Given the stratocu, a stray sprinkle, especially in the Kokomo/Anderson and Muncie areas will be possible. However measurable precipitation will not be expected. Also of note, another breezy day is expected with wind gusts to around 25 mph due to the moderate pressure gradient that will remain in place through much of the day. As the high begins to arrive late this afternoon, mixing ends and the gradient weakens, gusts will subside. Tonight - A quiet and cold night is in store for Central Indiana. Aloft, ridging to the west is expected to build across the plains and upper midwest, keeping northwest lee side flow and subsidence in place across IL and IN. The strong surface high pressure system is expected to build eastward by Wednesday morning into the Ohio valley. Forecast soundings and time heights at that time show a dry column. Thus mostly clear skies will be expected along with light winds. Lows in the middle to upper 30s appear expected overnight but dew point depressions are suggested to remain greater than 4-5F. This may prevent frost formation, but may need to be addressed again later today. && .LONG TERM (Wednesday through Monday)... Issued at 233 AM EDT Tue Apr 15 2025 Wednesday Through Friday. Any frost that forms Tuesday night will quickly clear Wednesday morning as temperatures rise into the 40s by 9AM. Broad ridging will dominate the weather pattern for the middle of the week with the upper level jet remaining well north of the forecast area. Good flow from the Gulf will help to bring a return to warmer than normal temperatures and allow for occasionally breezy conditions Wednesday and Thursday. A weak upper level wave will bring rain showers to Iowa and Illinois Thursday and Thursday night, but no local impacts are expected with good model agreement in the better forcing remaining west of the forecast area. Friday Through Monday. Focus then shifts to the conditional threat for a few strong to severe storms Friday night as a cold front pushes through central Indiana. Ahead of the front, continued flow from the Gulf will bring high temperatures to near 80 and dewpoints into the low 60s. This warm and moist air will interact with an upper level trough moving in from the northwest with a seasonably potent blast of cold air behind it. Showers and storms are expected to initiate along the southward moving cold front with both dynamics and thermodynamics favorable for a few strong to severe storms. Details remain fairly uncertain with model differences on both the timing of the system and the strength of the cold air behind the system, but models are beginning to come into better agreement that the better chances for precipitation will be during the overnight hours. Cooler air then will move in for Saturday behind the front but this cooldown will be brief as a much stronger low will be developing near the Four Corners region late Saturday into Sunday before pushing into the Midwest early next week bringing additional severe weather and possibly a return to flooding to the western Ohio Valley.
INDY SEVEN DAY FORECAST
Today: Partly to mostly cloudy, breezy, and colder again. A few sprinkles possible. High 53.
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Low 36.
Wednesday: Morning frost. Sunny. High 59.
Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Low 39.
Thursday: Partly to mostly cloudy. High 66.
Thursday Night: Scattered showers. Low 56.
Friday: Partly sunny. Early morning showers possible. High 77.
Friday Night: Showers and storms, possibly strong to severe. Low 56.
Saturday: Scattered showers and storms, especially in the morning. High 67.
Saturday Night: Spotty showers still possible. Low 48.
Easter Sunday: Partly sunny. Spotty showers are still possible. High 68.
Sunday Night: Scattered evening showers. Low 54.
Monday: Partly sunny. High 72.

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