…Francine will continue to weaken but remain a heavy rain and flash
flood threat from the Tennessee Valley into the Southeast and a tornado
threat for portions of the Southeast…
…Severe weather also possible across portions of the Northern Plains
late Thursday into early Friday…
…An elevated to critical fire weather threat exists across the Central
to Northern High Plains…
…Below average temperatures expected across the Southeast quarter of the
nation, while much above average temperatures spread across the Plains,
Upper Mississippi Valley, Great Lakes into the Northeast…
Francine will continue to weaken Thursday evening into Thursday
night/early Friday morning as it slowly moves northward across northern
Mississippi to the border area of Arkansas and Tennessee. The storm is
not expected to move appreciably after that, remaining nearly stationary
into the early weekend and eventually dissipating by late in the weekend.
Francine will continue to be a heavy rain threat over the next few days as
its slow motion helps to focus rainfall potential in similar areas from
far northeast Arkansas/far southeast Missouri, far southern Illinois/far
western Kentucky, southeast through western to central Tennessee, northern
Mississippi, northern Alabama, western Georgia, into North Florida.
Flood watches are currently in effect across these regions, affecting
nearly 10 million people. In addition to the heavy rain and flooding
potential, there will also be severe weather potential, especially to the
southeast of the center of Francine, across areas of western to central
Tennessee, Alabama, western Georgia into the Florida Panhandle and North
Florida. Across these areas, the largest threat of severe weather will be
from tornadoes that often occur on the east and southeast sides of
tropical systems. As Francine weakens further this weekend and eventually
dissipates, another area of low pressure will begin to develop along a
stationary front off the Southeast coast. This may bring additional wet
weather for next week across the Southeast. Much of the Southeast has
been very dry recently with this area experiencing moderate to isolated
severe drought conditions. This wet weather pattern will bring some
relief to these drought conditions late this week into early next week.
Active thunderstorms are also possible ahead of a slow moving cold front
forecast to push eastward into the Northern to Central Plains Thursday
afternoon into early Friday morning. Thunderstorms across this area may
produce severe weather with high winds and large hail being the greatest
threat, with a lesser threat of tornadoes.
Windy conditions ahead of this cold front across a region that has been
very dry will support an elevated to critical fire weather threat across
large sections of the Northern to Central Plains into the Central Rockies
and eastern Great Basin. Red Flag Warnings are currently in effect across
these areas, affecting over 5 millions people.
In the areas of clouds and rain across the southeastern portion of the
nation, high temperatures will likely be below average for the end of the
week into this weekend. Much above average temperatures are on tap for
the Plains, eastward across the Upper Mississippi Valley, the Great Lakes,
Northeast and New England. Record wise, a few record high temperatures
are possible across Northwest and South Texas and southeast New Mexico
Friday and Saturday.
Oravec
Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
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